When: Wednesday, January 10 – 7 p.m
hope: Fiserv Discussion board — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV: CBS Sports activities Community
radio: UConn Sports activities Community
Potentialities: UConn -2.5, over/underneath 147.0
Predicted KenPom Rating: UConn 75, Marquette 73 — 58% likelihood to win
UConn turned issues round on Saturday with a convincing win over Creighton, snapping a two-game shedding streak with a return to its roots. Because of a powerful outing from Adama Sanogo, robust contributions from Jordan Hawkins and the resurgence of Tristen Newton, the Huskies had been capable of appropriate many errors on the highway towards Xavier and Windfall to get the victory, though outrebounded.
Wednesday’s tilt towards Marquette marks the tip of what might be the hardest stretch of the Huskies’ schedule. Because the New Yr’s Eve loss to Xavier, UConn has performed 4 groups which are all top-30 in KenPom, three of that are on the highway. Whereas Xavier’s Cintas Middle and Windfall’s Amica Mutual Pavilion are two of the hardest locations to play within the convention, Marquette’s Fiserv Discussion board is not really easy, and the Golden Eagles are the second-highest ranked staff within the convention per KenPom, which involves Num. 15.
All in all, this could make for one more enjoyable matchup in a collection that will not have a protracted historical past however is stuffed with some unbelievable performs. The Huskies and Marquette have met simply 13 occasions, with UConn holding a 7-6 all-time edge. Seven of the 13 video games had been determined by eight factors or much less. There have been memorable moments on all sides, like Jimmy Butler’s buzzer-beater in Hartford in 2010, a 29-point sport from Jae Crowder in 2012, and Jeremy Lamb and Butler going head-to-head in 20-plus video games in the course of the Huskies’ 2011 title season.
There’s additionally the Steve Novak sport, the place the previous Knicks sharpshooter dropped 41 on the Huskies in Milwaukee in Marquette’s first-ever Large East house sport in 2006 in a sport that also haunts UConn followers to today. The Golden Eagles, who hadn’t crushed UConn within the Dan Hurley period, did not fiddle this time and introduced out the massive weapons to ensure the Fiserv Discussion board was packed for tip-off.
In a means, this sport is similar to the Xavier sport. The Huskies head on the highway to face an opponent that boasts an elite offense (Marquette is sixth in adjusted offensive effectivity) and a succesful protection. Towards the Musketeers, UConn’s offense misplaced sufficient of its weapons alongside the best way. Can the Huskies’ offense get assist off the bench and produce sufficient protection to decelerate this high-powered Marquette offense?
What to be careful for
If UConn has the ball: To snap their shedding streak, Dan Hurley and the Huskies put the ball within the fingers of their finest participant as a lot as potential. Sanogo was used on 36 p.c of UConn’s offensive possessions, his highest utilization charge since Jan. 7. The junior large man got here via when it mattered with 26 factors on 50 p.c taking pictures from the sphere and added 9 boards. The Huskies are 17-4 all-time when Sanogo’s utilization charge is 30 p.c or higher, with simply a type of losses occurring up to now two seasons — final 12 months’s Large East Match loss towards Villanova. Marquette’s bigs need not have the dimensions to hold with Sanogo for a number of possessions within the publish – Sanogo has a slight measurement and weight benefit over key bigs Olivier-Maxence Prosper and Oso Ighodaro – so the Huskies will doubtless return to the properly and use Sanogo early and sometimes towards a troublesome opponent in a foul setting.
Sanogo’s frontcourt companion Donovan Clingan has been equally efficient when he is been on the ground, however the freshman has seen restricted minutes of late, taking part in 10 or extra minutes simply 4 occasions since December. After logging 21 minutes, principally with Sanogo, towards Windfall, Clingan performed simply eight towards Creighton, principally as a result of foul hassle. If Clingan can keep on the courtroom, he has an opportunity to dominate the sport for stretches, particularly towards this small Golden Eagles frontcourt.
Throughout UConn’s two-game skid, the backcourt play has been virtually atrocious, apart from Andre Jackson and Hawkins. Newton rose to the event towards the Bluejays, scoring 13 factors and attending to the road six occasions. If he can proceed to attain across the rim, get to the lane and get open for 3-pointers, he ought to have the ability to take some strain off the bench guards who’ve struggled of late.
Talking of the backcourt bench, the trio of Nahiem Alleyne, Hassan Diarra and Joey Calcaterra scored zero factors on 9 whole pictures towards Creighton. All three of those gamers have had moments this season the place they carried the staff for a season, so it is not a expertise situation, however the bench guards must step up and return to their early kind. time.
When Marquette had the ball: The Golden Eagles did plenty of issues proper on offense; that is the case while you rank sixth within the nation in adjusted effectivity. Marquette options an elite distributor in level guard Tyler Kolek, who’s ninth within the nation in help charge and is contemporary off a 15-assist sport towards Georgetown. Kolek’s job is to search out simple seems to be for elite finishers like guard Kam Jones and bigs Prosper and Ighodaro, who all shoot over 67 p.c on 2-point pictures and common greater than 11 factors per sport.
Slowing down Kolek will not be simple, however the Huskies have accomplished it earlier than, holding him to simply two factors and 4 assists early final season. Hawkins and Newton will doubtless get the primary crack at bottling up the Rhode Island native, however Hassan Diarra may get some additional minutes on the courtroom with a smaller nosed protection.
Marquette depends on utilizing its offense to search out fast inside seems to be and shooter David Joplin (39 p.c from past the arc). Jones, a 36 p.c shooter from 3-point vary, can stretch the ground to his personal proper, and Prosper is likely one of the finest within the nation at drawing fouls and attending to line, averaging 3.3 taking pictures fouls taken per sport. For a UConn protection that has struggled with offensive points, particularly on the highway, Prosper’s ability set is one thing to regulate.
Like the remainder of the Golden Eagles, Stevie Mitchell and Chase Ross aren’t offensive focal factors, however are environment friendly contained in the arc and play good protection on the opposite finish.